Prediabetes
Research Summary
Analyzed using Evidence Intelligence™

Newer diabetes drugs show stronger weight and blood sugar benefits in prediabetes

Last updated May 16, 2026

Key finding

Newer drugs like semaglutide and tirzepatide appear best for weight and blood sugar in prediabetes.

This review compared nine types of diabetes medications in over 16,000 adults with prediabetes across 55 studies. The medications included metformin, newer injectable drugs like semaglutide and tirzepatide, and older pills like pioglitazone. Newer medications like semaglutide and tirzepatide showed the best combined effects for weight loss and blood sugar control. Semaglutide 2.4 mg led to the most weight loss at about 30 pounds. Liraglutide worked best for lowering HbA1c. Older medications like pioglitazone lowered blood sugar effectively but caused weight gain. The newer drugs had more stomach-related side effects but were generally safe.

Quick read

Study at a glance

The essential study design details in one scan.

EvidenceScore™

Moderate

Study type

Meta-Analysis

Follow-up

Long-Term (> 12 mo)

Risk of bias

Low Risk

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Plain-language summary

What this paper says

A plain-language read of the study’s main message and where it applies.

Study focus

Newer drugs like semaglutide and tirzepatide appear best for weight and blood sugar in prediabetes.

Published in

Journal Reference

Publication details and source links for this paper.

Wu Y, Wang Z, Tuersun A, et al. Efficacy and safety of anti-prediabetic drugs in patients with prediabetes: a Bayesian network meta-analysis. BMC Med. 2026;24:174. doi:10.1186/s12916-026-04705-2

Main Effects

Weight → ↓ (strong with semaglutide, tirzepatide)

HbA1c → ↓ (moderate with most drugs)

Cholesterol → ↓ (moderate with tirzepatide, pioglitazone)

Evidence network

How this study fits

Understand where this research contributes within the broader evidence network.

Evidence Context

This study contributes evidence to Dapagliflozin, Liraglutide, Metformin, and 3 more and Body weight, HbA1c, Renal and urinary disorders incidence, and 3 more.

Primary intervention

Dapagliflozin

Primary outcomes

  • Body weight
  • HbA1c
  • Renal and urinary disorders incidence

Evidence relationships

Intervention and outcome relationships this study adds to the evidence network.

14
Evidence pairs
14
Relationships
9
Evidence topics
contributes_evidence

Editorial context

Why this study matters

See why this paper is useful beyond its individual results.

Evidence network role

This section describes how the study fits into the current evidence network. It does not determine whether an intervention works on its own.

Limited contributionModerate confidenceNetwork score: 42

9

Related topics

14

Evidence pairs

732

Related studies

High relevance in at least one topic

Why it is useful

  • Contributes to 14 evidence relationships
  • Linked to 9 direct semantic evidence topics

Topic contributions

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

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Primary evidence

Evidence relationship

Metformin Therapies and HbA1c

Related evidence

Evidence relationship

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Body Weight

Save evidence

Evidence relationship

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and HbA1c

Save evidence

Core evidence

Study findings

The primary outcomes reported in this study.

Body weight

Dapagliflozin → Body weight

Dapagliflozin → Body weight

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
55
Slightly Positive
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

HbA1c

Dapagliflozin → HbA1c

Dapagliflozin → HbA1c

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
81
Strong
ImpactScore™
83
Positive
ConsistencyScore™
100
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 5 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Renal and urinary disorders incidence

Dapagliflozin → Renal and urinary disorders incidence

Dapagliflozin → Renal and urinary disorders incidence

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
100
Very Positive
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

Body weight

Liraglutide → Body weight

Liraglutide → Body weight

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Strong
Score 79 · Based on 4 studies
ImpactScore™
76
Positive
ConsistencyScore™
100
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 4 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

HbA1c

Liraglutide → HbA1c

Liraglutide → HbA1c

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Moderate
Score 69 · Based on 2 studies
ImpactScore™
100
Very Positive
ConsistencyScore™
100
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 2 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Body weight

Metformin → Body weight

Metformin → Body weight

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
55
Slightly Positive
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

HbA1c

Metformin → HbA1c

Metformin → HbA1c

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
85
Strong
ImpactScore™
80
Positive
ConsistencyScore™
83
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 7 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Body weight

Pioglitazone → Body weight

Pioglitazone → Body weight

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
55
Slightly Positive
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

Triglycerides

Pioglitazone → Triglycerides

Pioglitazone → Triglycerides

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
100
Very Positive
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

BMI

Semaglutide → BMI

Semaglutide → BMI

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Strong
Score 79 · Based on 4 studies
ImpactScore™
75
Positive
ConsistencyScore™
75
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 4 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Body weight

Semaglutide → Body weight

Semaglutide → Body weight

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
88
Strong
ImpactScore™
77
Positive
ConsistencyScore™
90
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 11 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

HbA1c

Semaglutide → HbA1c

Semaglutide → HbA1c

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
87
Strong
ImpactScore™
89
Very Positive
ConsistencyScore™
85
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 13 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

BMI

Tirzepatide → BMI

Tirzepatide → BMI

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Moderate
Score 69 · Based on 2 studies
ImpactScore™
100
Very Positive
ConsistencyScore™
100
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 2 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Total cholesterol

Tirzepatide → Total cholesterol

Tirzepatide → Total cholesterol

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
100
Very Positive
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

Evidence Library

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evidence suggest

Evidence Suggest

  • Newer medications like semaglutide and tirzepatide appear to offer the best combined benefits for weight loss and blood sugar control in people with prediabetes who are overweight
  • Older medications like pioglitazone lower blood sugar effectively but cause weight gain, which limits their usefulness
  • Effects vary by medication type, with no single drug working best for all outcomes
who this applies

Who this applies to

Adults aged 18-75 with prediabetes based on blood tests showing HbA1c of 5.7-6.4% or elevated fasting blood sugar

keep in mind

Keep in Mind

Most studies compared drugs to placebo rather than directly to each other, so we can't be certain which drug works best

between the lines

Between the Lines

  • Most studies compared to placebo, not to each other
  • Results varied widely between studies
  • Study lengths ranged from 3 months to 2+ years
  • Most participants were of European ancestry

Connected Evidence

Explore related studies, evidence collections, and research questions.

Relationships organized using the Dediabetes Evidence Intelligence™ framework.

This study contributes to evidence on GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Body Weight, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and HbA1c.

Related evidence relationships

Explore in Evidence Explorer

This study contributes to the evidence on the following intervention-outcome relationships.

Questions answered by this study

Generated from the study's connected evidence using Evidence Intelligence™.

Does Metformin Therapies improve HbA1c?

Strong Evidence

Metformin Therapies may improve HbA1c.

ConsistencyScore™: Results are consistent across studies.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    HbA1c

    EvidenceScore™ Strong | EvidenceScore™ 85.4 | moderate positive | ConsistencyScore™ Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on 8 supporting studies with consistent results and a positive effect signal.

Limitations

  • Population details are unavailable.
8 supporting studiesUpdated: Jul 2026

Does GLP-1 Receptor Agonists affect body weight?

Strong Evidence

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists may improve Body Weight.

ConsistencyScore™: Results are consistent across studies.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Body weight

    EvidenceScore™ Strong | EvidenceScore™ 87.5 | moderate positive | ConsistencyScore™ Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on 26 supporting studies with consistent results and a positive effect signal.

Limitations

  • Population details are unavailable.
26 supporting studiesUpdated: Jul 2026

Does GLP-1 Receptor Agonists improve HbA1c?

Strong Evidence

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists appears to improve HbA1c.

ConsistencyScore™: Results are consistent across studies.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    HbA1c

    EvidenceScore™ Strong | EvidenceScore™ 87.3 | strong positive | ConsistencyScore™ Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on 27 supporting studies with consistent results and a positive effect signal.

Limitations

  • Population details are unavailable.
27 supporting studiesUpdated: Jul 2026

Does SGLT2 Inhibitors improve HbA1c?

Strong Evidence

SGLT2 Inhibitors may improve HbA1c.

ConsistencyScore™: Results are consistent across studies.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    HbA1c

    EvidenceScore™ Strong | EvidenceScore™ 80.8 | moderate positive | ConsistencyScore™ Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on 9 supporting studies with consistent results and a positive effect signal.

Limitations

  • Population details are unavailable.
9 supporting studiesUpdated: Jul 2026
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