RESEARCH SUMMARY

Empagliflozin reduces mortality in real-world type 2 diabetes patients, including those excluded from pivotal trials

Moderate confidence
Some Concerns bias
Last updated May 4, 2026

Key takeaway:

A trial emulation using UK primary care data from 62,503 people with type 2 diabetes found that empagliflozin reduced the risk of death by 24% compared with DPP-4 inhibitors, with consistent benefits in patients who would have been excluded from the original EMPA-REG trial.

Study at a glance

Study type

Cohort

duration

Long-Term (1–5 y), Extended (5–20+ y)

Intervention

Empagliflozin

Outcomes

All-cause mortality

Funding

Non-industry sponsored

What was studied

Real-world mortality benefit of empagliflozin in broader type 2 diabetes populations

What they found

  • All-cause mortality ↓ by 24% with empagliflozin vs DPP-4 inhibitors (aHR 0.76)
  • Consistent benefit in RCT-ineligible patients (83% of real-world users)
  • NNT of 47 to prevent one death over 3 years

mainEffects

All-cause mortality ↓ by 24% with empagliflozin vs DPP-4 inhibitors (aHR 0.76)

Consistent benefit in RCT-ineligible patients (83% of real-world users)

NNT of 47 to prevent one death over 3 years

Evidence Suggest

  • Empagliflozin was associated with significantly lower all-cause mortality compared with DPP-4 inhibitors across the full study population (adjusted HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.83).
  • The mortality benefit was consistent regardless of whether patients met EMPA-REG RCT eligibility criteria (p-interaction=0.27), supporting broader real-world use.
  • Sensitivity analyses using IPTW and E-values confirmed the robustness of findings against potential unmeasured confounding.

Who this applies to

These findings apply to adults with type 2 diabetes who are candidates for SGLT2 inhibitor therapy, including those without established cardiovascular disease. The results are most relevant to patients managed in primary care settings similar to the UK healthcare system, given the use of THIN database data from 2014 to 2022.

Keep in Mind

This was not a randomized trial - it used statistical methods to try to replicate what an RCT would find. The active comparator design (DPP-4 inhibitors vs placebo) helps reduce bias, but unmeasured factors like frailty could still affect results. The study did not examine safety outcomes or other SGLT2 inhibitors besides empagliflozin.

Between the Lines

  • Observational design means residual confounding is possible despite rigorous methods.
  • Cause-specific mortality data were not available, so only all-cause mortality could be assessed.
  • The study used UK primary care data, so results may not apply to all healthcare settings.
  • Safety outcomes were not assessed in this analysis.

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Sources

guidelines

Pharmacologic Approaches to Glycemic Treatment: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025

This ADA guideline recommends SGLT2 inhibitors as part of first-line therapy for type 2 diabetes, particularly in patients with cardiovascular disease, heart failure, or chronic kidney disease, providing clinical context for the expanded use studied in this trial emulation.
guidelines

ESC Guidelines on diabetes, pre-diabetes, and cardiovascular diseases (2019)

This ESC/EASD guideline recommends SGLT2 inhibitors for cardiovascular risk reduction in patients with type 2 diabetes, supporting the broader prescribing patterns seen in the real-world data analyzed in this study.
guidelines

NICE guideline: Type 2 diabetes in adults: management (NG28)

This NICE guideline recommended SGLT2 inhibitors as dual first-line agents with metformin from 2022, reflecting the policy change that motivated this trial emulation study examining real-world effectiveness beyond original RCT populations.
guidelines

Management of Hyperglycemia in Type 2 Diabetes, 2018. A consensus report by the ADA and the EASD

This ADA/EASD consensus report provides recommendations on SGLT2 inhibitor use in type 2 diabetes management, including cardiovascular risk stratification that informed the guideline changes evaluated in this trial emulation.
guidelines

A Guide for People with Type 2 Diabetes | American Diabetes Association

American Diabetes Association resource matched by keyword relevance (type 2 diabetes)
guidelines

Diabetes in America: Prevalence, Statistics, and Economic Impact

Explore the latest diabetes in America data, including type 2 diabetes statistics, prevalence by age and ethnicity, death rates, and the financial burden of diabetes in the U.S.
guidelines

Diabetes Medication | ADA

Explore diabetes medication management options, from insulin to oral medications, and learn how to choose the best treatments to effectively manage diabetes.
guidelines

Driver's License Information | ADA

Individuals with type 1 diabetes and those with type 2 diabetes at risk for low blood glucose should take steps to avoid lows when driving.
guidelines

Insulin Resistance & Type 1 | ADA

Insulin resistance is a problem found in people with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes, but people with type 1 diabetes can become insulin resistant, too.
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SGLT2 Inhibitor Use and Cardiorenal Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes With Liver Cirrhosis.

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Efficacy and safety of novel antidiabetic drugs in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease: a network meta-analysis.

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Comparative effectiveness and prescribing patterns of dapagliflozin vs empagliflozin in type 2 diabetes patients: a target trial emulation.

2025
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Cardiorenal Outcomes of Dapagliflozin vs. Empagliflozin in Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease and Diabetes.

2026
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Enhancing evidence-based guidelines using trial emulation in electronic health records: Real-world effects of empagliflozin in people with type 2 diabetes

2025

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