Prediabetes
RESEARCH SUMMARY

Newer diabetes drugs show stronger weight and blood sugar benefits in prediabetes

Moderate confidence
low bias
Last updated May 16, 2026

Key takeaway:

Newer drugs like semaglutide and tirzepatide appear best for weight and blood sugar in prediabetes.

Study at a glance

What was studied

55 studies with 16,610 adults with prediabetes testing nine medication types over 3 months to 2+ years

Study type

Meta-Analysis

duration

Long-Term (> 12 mo)

Intervention

Semaglutide, Tirzepatide, Liraglutide, Pioglitazone, Metformin, Dapagliflozin

Outcomes

Body weight, HbA1c, BMI, Fasting Plasma Glucose, Total cholesterol, Triglycerides, Renal and urinary disorders incidence

Funding

Non-industry sponsored

Main effects

Weight → ↓ (strong with semaglutide, tirzepatide)

HbA1c → ↓ (moderate with most drugs)

Cholesterol → ↓ (moderate with tirzepatide, pioglitazone)

Evidence Summary

InterventionOutcomeMeasured ChangeStudy Effect
Medications
Dapagliflozin
(Medications)
Weight & Anthropometrics
Body weight
(Weight & Anthropometrics)
Decrease
Limited
Medications
Dapagliflozin
(Medications)
Glycemic Control
HbA1c
(Glycemic Control)
Decrease
Limited
Medications
Dapagliflozin
(Medications)
Safety
Renal and urinary disorders incidence
(Safety)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Liraglutide
(Medications)
Weight & Anthropometrics
Body weight
(Weight & Anthropometrics)
Decrease
Limited
Medications
Liraglutide
(Medications)
Glycemic Control
HbA1c
(Glycemic Control)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Metformin
(Medications)
Weight & Anthropometrics
Body weight
(Weight & Anthropometrics)
Decrease
Limited
Medications
Metformin
(Medications)
Glycemic Control
Fasting Plasma Glucose
(Glycemic Control)
Decrease
Mixed
Medications
Metformin
(Medications)
Glycemic Control
HbA1c
(Glycemic Control)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Pioglitazone
(Medications)
Weight & Anthropometrics
Body weight
(Weight & Anthropometrics)
Increase
Limited
Medications
Pioglitazone
(Medications)
Glycemic Control
Fasting Plasma Glucose
(Glycemic Control)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Pioglitazone
(Medications)
Metabolic Health
Triglycerides
(Metabolic Health)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Semaglutide
(Medications)
Weight & Anthropometrics
BMI
(Weight & Anthropometrics)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Semaglutide
(Medications)
Weight & Anthropometrics
Body weight
(Weight & Anthropometrics)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Semaglutide
(Medications)
Glycemic Control
HbA1c
(Glycemic Control)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Tirzepatide
(Medications)
Weight & Anthropometrics
BMI
(Weight & Anthropometrics)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Tirzepatide
(Medications)
Glycemic Control
Fasting Plasma Glucose
(Glycemic Control)
Decrease
Strong
Medications
Tirzepatide
(Medications)
Metabolic Health
Total cholesterol
(Metabolic Health)
Decrease
Strong

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evidence suggest

Evidence Suggest

  • Newer medications like semaglutide and tirzepatide appear to offer the best combined benefits for weight loss and blood sugar control in people with prediabetes who are overweight
  • Older medications like pioglitazone lower blood sugar effectively but cause weight gain, which limits their usefulness
  • Effects vary by medication type, with no single drug working best for all outcomes
who this applies

Who this applies to

Adults aged 18-75 with prediabetes based on blood tests showing HbA1c of 5.7-6.4% or elevated fasting blood sugar

keep in mind

Keep in Mind

Most studies compared drugs to placebo rather than directly to each other, so we can't be certain which drug works best

between the lines

Between the Lines

  • Most studies compared to placebo, not to each other
  • Results varied widely between studies
  • Study lengths ranged from 3 months to 2+ years
  • Most participants were of European ancestry

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Journal Reference

Wu Y, Wang Z, Tuersun A, et al. Efficacy and safety of anti-prediabetic drugs in patients with prediabetes: a Bayesian network meta-analysis. BMC Med. 2026;24:174. doi:10.1186/s12916-026-04705-2

Sources

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Key References

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